Hurricane Prediction

Subscribe to Hurricane Prediction

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) is increasing its Atlantic hurricane season outlook despite it being over a month since a new storm has formed. The new outlook calls for 15-21 named storms, 7-10 of which are predicted to be hurricanes. This is up from the original prediction of 13-20 named storms and 6-10 hurricanes. NOAA is giving a 65% probability of having an above-average season.
Continue Reading NOAA Upping Hurricane Outlook To 15-21 Named Storms As Fred Approaches

Now that we are in June, Atlantic hurricane season is officially upon us. I write this while sitting in our Houston office that was closed less ten months ago following Hurricane Harvey’s devastation. Many homes and businesses are still damaged and Houston continues to feel the effects of Harvey. However, let’s take a moment to look ahead to the 2018 hurricane season.
Continue Reading Hurricane Season is Back and Predicted Near of Above Normal

Many forecasters called for Hurricane Irma to stay five to ten miles off Florida’s west coast. This would expose us to the worst winds and historic flood surge. One quirky and dedicated hurricane expert, Bobbi Storm, called for mainland landfall in Naples.

IRMA LANDFALL …MARCO ISLAND, EVERGLADES CITY .. NAPLES … MOVING N TMOBILE DOWN IN WEST BROWARD..LOOK WHERE IT MADE LANDFALL..Just W of Hurricane Donna.. Same Day in 1960.. Moving NORTH…NORTH not NNW.. Made the turn sooner rather than later.. New cone at 5 PM or 11 PM?
Continue Reading Hurricane Harbour’s Bobbi Storm Correctly Calls Naples Landfall

For those on the Northeast who had to face the wrath of Superstorm Sandy, it is too soon to imagine another Sandy, let alone anything worse than Sandy. However, the reality, experts say, is that “[e]ight hurricanes are predicted for this year’s hurricane season, perhaps the most since Superstorm Sandy struck New Jersey in 2012.”1
…
Continue Reading The 2016 Atlantic Hurricane Season has Started and Experts Predict Worst Hurricane Season Since Superstorm Sandy

Hurricane prognostication is akin to reading tea leaves and palms to determine one’s future. But, what is it about human nature that we seem to love this crazy guessing over the weather?

A picture is worth a thousand words; so, here is one model predicting that the Gulf Coast is in the path of historic hurricane destruction for 2016:

…
Continue Reading Will Hurricanes Return to the Gulf Coast in 2016? One Model Predicts They Will

As my colleague, Kenneth Kan, noted back in May in his blog post, Experts Predict a Strong El Niño This Year, climatologists have been predicting a stronger than normal El Niño for the 2015-2016 season. New data is suggesting the upcoming El Niño will be the strongest on record.…

Continue Reading ‘Godzilla’ El Niño is Coming and Will Bring Rain, Mudslides, and Floods With It

Although I handle cases around the country, I live in Houston and naturally pay more attention to weather conditions in and around Texas. As a result, I paid particular attention to a few recent publications that predicted a lighter storm season this year for the southern United States.…

Continue Reading Recent Publications Indicate Lighter Storm Season Prediction for Southern States