Jeff Masters’ post, Act I, Scene I, Tropical Depression One of the Hurricane Season of 2010, indicated that a tropical depression was forming in the Western Caribbean. The National Hurricane Center has now confirmed this prediction and designated the storm Alex. In the discussion this morning was a note I did not like at all:
THE GFDL…SHIPS…AND LGEM
MODELS FORECAST ALEX TO BE A HURRICANE OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO.
THE INTENSITY FORECAST WILL NOT YET DO THAT…BUT WILL CALL FOR
MORE STRENGTHENING OVER THE GULF THAN THE PREVIOUS FORECAST.